Last Years Struggles

Coming off of a 3-7 record in 2024, the Arlington Renegades enter the 2025 UFL season in the XFL Conference, returning Luis Perez at quarterback, and have a mix of home and away games. Let’s dissect how this plays out. The 2024 Arlington Renegades had a rollercoaster of a season, ending the year 3-7. Though the win-loss record was tough, there were moments of brilliance, especially from their high-powered passing attack, led by quarterback Luis Perez. Perez was the best of the bunch, pacing the league in passing yards with 2,309 and 18 touchdowns while completing 67% of his passes and limiting turnovers with just four interceptions. With 311.9 total yards and 2,277 passing yards per game, the Renegades had the second-ranked offense in the league for total yards per game and ranked second in passing yards. But it was usually struggles in the rushing game-the team ranked eighth with 842 yards-and inefficiency in the red zone that often impeded the team’s ability to turn yardage into wins.

On defense, the Renegades had mixed results. Though they forced a lot of turnovers and were leading the league with 16 takeaways, they weren’t consistent in other ways, allowing 249 points through the season and seventh in total tackles. One of the high spots was special teams: a 90% field goal success rate, with solid coverage units. The season’s bright spots included a thrilling mid-season win over the DC Defenders and a two-game winning streak to close out the year, which gave the team momentum and optimism for 2025. With clear areas for improvement, such as rush defense and road performance, combined with the strong foundation in passing, ball security, and special teams, the Renegades have the building blocks to make significant strides next season.

This Years UFL 2025 Hope

Game-by-Game Predictions

  1. vs. San Antonio Brahmas (March 29)
  • Opening in Texas rivalry
  • Brahmas went 7-3 last year
  • Historical edge: Brahmas lead series 3-1
    Prediction: WIN (1-0) – Home opener energy and revenge factor
  1. vs. Houston Roughnecks (April 6)
  • Roughnecks struggled (1-9 in 2024)
  • Early season home advantage
  • Texas rivalry game
    Prediction: WIN (2-0) – Taking advantage of Houston’s rebuilding phase
  1. at Birmingham Stallions (April 11)
  • USFL Champions (9-1 in 2024)
  • First road test
  • Stallions’ dominant home record
    Prediction: LOSS (2-1) – Tough road environment against elite team
  1. vs. St. Louis Battlehawks (April 19)
  • Battlehawks finished 7-3
  • Historical struggles (0-3 vs St. Louis)
  • Critical conference game
    Prediction: LOSS (2-2) – St. Louis continues their dominance
  1. vs. DC Defenders (April 27)
  • Familiar opponent from XFL
  • DC struggled (4-6 in 2024)
  • Championship game rematch
    Prediction: WIN (3-2) – Home field advantage proves crucial
  1. at St. Louis Battlehawks (May 2)
  • Averse weather/stadium of The Dome
  • Battlehawks flawless on their home turf in 2024
  • Division implications
    Prediction: LOSS (3-3) – St. Louis’s home field advantage too great
  1. vs. Michigan Panthers (May 10)
  • Panthers solid in 2024 with 7-3 record
  • Big cross-conference matchup at hand
  • Home field
    Prediction: WIN (4-3) – Big home victory in playoff push
  1. at DC Defenders (May 18)
  • Tough road atmosphere in Audi Field
  • Later season implications
  • Intense rivalry
    Prediction: LOSS (4-4) – DC gets revenge at home
  1. at Memphis Showboats (May 24)
  • Showboats struggled (2-8) in 2024
  • Late season road game
  • Cross-conference matchup
    Prediction: WIN (5-4) – Taking advantage of weaker opponent
  1. at San Antonio Brahmas (June 1)
  • Season finale
  • Potential playoff implications
  • Rivalry game
    Prediction: LOSS (5-5) – Tough road environment decides it

Final Predicted Record: 5-5

Analysis by Category:

Home Games (6): 4-2

  • Strong home performance expected
  • Key wins against Houston, DC, Michigan
  • Tough losses to St. Louis

Away Matches (4): 1-3

  • The road woes remain
  • Beat Memphis in bad form
  • Lost to Birmingham, St. Louis, San Antonio

Divisional Matches: 3-3

  • Split with DC
  • Swept by St. Louis
  • Split with San Antonio

Keys to Success:

  1. Home Field Advantage
  • 6 home games must be capitalized upon
  • Pivotal early season matchups
  • Tough fan support at Choctaw Stadium
  1. Luis Perez Factor
  • League leader in passing, 2,309 yards
  • 18 touchdowns in 2024
  • Big game experience
  1. Division Performance
  • Get better against St. Louis
  • Success against DC sustained
  • Split Texas rivalry games
  1. Defensive Improvements
  • 7th in tackles with 605
  • Need better run defense
  • Increase takeaway opportunities

Season Outlook

The 5-5 prediction is substantial improvement over the 2024 record of 3-7. The Renegades benefit from:

  • More home games
  • Luis Perez’s continued development
  • Weaker opponents in Houston and Memphis
  • Improved team chemistry
  • Perez looks to make an MVP push?
  • Continued Coach Improvements

However, challenges remain:

  • Tough XFL Conference competition
  • Historical struggles against St. Louis
  • Road game difficulties
  • Strong cross-conference opponents

That path to the playoffs is going to have to come via winning some home games and stealing a few key road victories. While 5-5 might seem a modest goal, it’s very real improvement in a competitive conference and keeps playoff hopes alive well into the final weeks.

The Renegades’ season kicks off March 29th at Choctaw Stadium against the San Antonio Brahmas in what could set the tone for their entire 2025 campaign.

https://uflrumors.com/category/ufl-team-guides/arlington-renegades/

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